Roblox 双榜单扫描报告 - 2026-06-15 10:00 CST

扫描时间: 2026-06-15 10:00 CST (US morning off-peak, ≈ 2026-06-14 22:00 EDT)

扫描源: Up-and-Coming (33) + Top Trending (36) → 黄金矩阵 24 → 黑名单过滤 -8 → 16 评估

Skill: roblox-trend-hunter (含 25 个 pitfall 实战库)

Base 对比: 2026-06-14 22:00 CST (上一扫描点, US peak hour)

一、扫描概况

| 榜单 | 游戏数 | 备注 |

| Up-and-Coming | 33 | US morning off-peak (10:00 CST = 22:00 EDT) |

| Top Trending | 36 | US 仍 active |

| 合并去重 1K-10K | 24 | 黄金矩阵评估池 |

| 黑名单过滤 | -8 | Obby / 视觉房 / Trivia / Clicker |

| 最终评估 | 16 | 含 Tier 1/2/3 + Drop |

二、关键发现 (vs 2026-06-14 22:00 US peak)

📉 Morning off-peak 时段差是正常的 -15% 到 -40%, 判定不能只看 CCU 数字, 要结合 long-tail signals + playlist + 第三方站先入情况综合判断 (pitfall #19)。

CCU 跨时段对比 (10:00 CST vs 22:00 CST 上次扫描)

| 游戏 | 06-14 22:00 | 06-15 10:00 | 变化 | 判定 |

Tier 1 关键支撑 (3 个)

A desrt [SANDBOX]: Camodo Gaming 4M subs 95K views (2/15) + Eric Labirth 71.9K 持续 playlist 输出. 撞词极低 (A desrt unique). 5/5 支撑 (pitfall #23) 维持 Tier 1

A Broken Dream: Crano 919K subs playlist + walkthrough 持续 (Chapter 1+2 Full Walkthrough), 章节制稳态 (每章新增 walkthrough). 维持 Tier 1

My Gaming Cafe!: 06-15 5.3K vs 06-14 22:00 13.5K base = -61% 持续下滑, mygamingcafe.wiki 已建完整 layout + tier list + ROI. 第三方站先入 + base 下滑 → 降 Tier 2 (但仍有 ROI 空间)

Tier 1 降级信号

My Gaming Cafe!: 第三方站 mygamingcafe.wiki 抢占核心 (Layout + ROI + Tier List + PC Parts + Codes) — 护城河已建立 (pitfall #14). 即使我们做互动决策树, 差异化空间被压缩 30-40%. 降 Tier 2

Hide or Die! 仍 Drop: 1 年前 125 views 标题党陷阱未变, 9.1K peak hour 反弹失败

三、Tier 1 立项候选详细报告

🎮 A desrt [SANDBOX]

Current CCU: 7.2K (06-14 22:00 peak 15.6K) | Maturity: Sandbox | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/107467295209358/A-desrt-SANDBOX

Zone: 🥇 Sweet Spot 6-10K (peak 15.6K 放宽至 Saturated 边界, pitfall #23 触发条件全满足)

📌 本质 (First Principles): 指数级 distance/speed 复合升级树 + vehicle 兼容性矩阵 + 500 KM/H 里程碑路径

📌 核心矛盾 (Main Friction): Engine/Gearbox 兼容性 + 500 KM/H 路径不透明 + 隐藏车辆触发条件

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords: 'A desrt best engine', 'A desrt 500 km/h route', 'A desrt vehicle tier list', 'A desrt gearbox compatibility', 'A desrt sandbox guide', 'A desrt codes', 'A desrt best car'

Weapon: Engine Upgrade Decision Tree (JS 互动) + 500KM/H Route Calculator (输入现有车辆 → 输出最优升级路径) + Vehicle Compatibility Matrix (互动筛选)

📌 风险评估:

Dwell Time: 互动决策树预期 ≥ 5min (玩家需多次比较 upgrade path)

更新频率: 大更新已落地 (Untitled Trip 2.0), 短期无大更新风险

大媒体后入: 零命中 (delatiasgaming beginner 指南除外, 不构成 SEO 威胁)

📌 反偏见: Camodo Gaming 4M subs 95K views + Eric Labirth + Kingkade 162K subs = 3 大 UP 同期覆盖, playlist 645K 长尾热度, 真搜索意图

📌 Priority: 🥇 Tier 1 (维持) — 5/5 支撑条件全通过, playlist 645K 是最强长尾信号

🎮 A Broken Dream

Current CCU: 6K (06-14 22:00 peak 10K) | Maturity: Release | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/94102850124481/

Zone: 🥈 Niche Vacuum 1-6K (peak 10K 放宽至 Sweet Spot 边界)

📌 本质: 状态机 + 隐藏 ending 触发 + badge 解锁的多章节 psychological horror

📌 核心矛盾: 7 endings 路径不透明 + 隐藏 badge 触发条件 + chapter 2 新增内容 walkthrough 需求

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords: 'A Broken Dream endings', 'A Broken Dream chapter 2', 'A Broken Dream all badges', 'A Broken Dream walkthrough', 'A Broken Dream demo', 'A Broken Dream secret ending'

Weapon: 互动 Endings 分支决策树 (选择 chapter 1 决策 → 预测结局 + 列出剩余 branch) + Badge 触发器 (输入当前进度 → 显示未解锁 badge 列表)

📌 风险评估:

Dwell Time: 决策树预期 ≥ 4min (玩家需探索多分支)

更新频率: chapter 2 已发布, 短期稳定, 章节制长期内容

大媒体后入: 零命中, 但章节发布前 1 周可能有 walkthrough 站跟进

📌 反偏见: Crano 919K subs walkthrough + sceerlike + AnyaRoblox = 3 UP 持续输出, 章节制 = 长尾搜索意图

📌 Priority: 🥇 Tier 1 (维持) — 章节制 = 持续长尾, 大媒体零命中维持真空窗口

🎮 My Gaming Cafe! (降 Tier 1 → Tier 2)

Current CCU: 5.3K (06-14 22:00 peak 13.5K base 9K) | Maturity: Release | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/9063399148/

Zone: 🥈 Niche Vacuum 1-6K (base 9K 接近 Sweet Spot)

📌 本质: ROI 博弈 + 设备/Staff 配比 + 楼层/布局优化 + PC parts 升级

📌 核心矛盾: Best layout 不透明 + Equipment 升级 ROI + Staff 配置 + Floor 2-8 进度

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords: 'My Gaming Cafe best layout', 'My Gaming Cafe tier list', 'My Gaming Cafe staff guide', 'My Gaming Cafe floor progression', 'My Gaming Cafe PC parts', 'My Gaming Cafe ROI calculator'

Weapon: Layout Optimizer (互动决策树, 输入楼层/预算 → 推荐布局) + Equipment ROI Calculator (JS 互动, 输入当前 cash → 输出最优升级顺序) + Staff 配置 Optimizer

📌 风险评估:

⚠️ 第三方站先入 (pitfall #14): mygamingcafe.wiki 已建完整 (Layout + ROI + Tier List + PC Parts + Codes + Floor Progression + Beginner Route). 互动决策树差异化空间被压缩 30-40%

Dwell Time: mygamingcafe.wiki 已 5min+ signal, 我们做互动决策树可拉开

更新频率: 大更新 (Sat 6/13 4PM) 已落地, base 持续下滑 21.7K → 13.5K → 5.3K

📌 反偏见: 3 大 UP 主流入场 (OTTER 705K + ImCadeBlox 119K + MoreNizarisaqt 368K) 仍强, 但 base 持续下滑信号需警惕

📌 Priority: 🥈 Tier 2 (降级) — mygamingcafe.wiki 已抢核心, 我们做互动决策树差异化, ROI 空间 30-40%

四、Tier 2 立项候选详细报告

🎮 Rensselaer County

Current CCU: 9.1K (06-14 22:00 5K, +82% 反弹) | Maturity: Release | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/4637668954/Rensselaer-County

Zone: 🥇 Sweet Spot 6-10K

📌 本质: Vehicle tier 决策 + Job 收入博弈 + 载具解锁 + Role-play (police/EMS/civilian)

📌 核心矛盾: Best cars 不透明 + Job 收入排序 + 升级成本 + Police CAD 系统

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords: 'Rensselaer County best car', 'Rensselaer County tier list', 'Rensselaer County money guide', 'Rensselaer County police', 'Rensselaer County codes', 'Rensselaer County dyno'

Weapon: Vehicle Tier Filter (speed/handling/price 互动筛选) + Money Making Calculator (输入 job + 时间 → 输出 cash) + Best Loadout 决策树

📌 风险评估:

⚠️ Dexerto + gamingdose + Berliankecil 179K + B乛MaX丨Rohaan 102K 占 codes 战场 (pitfall #13)

Dwell Time: Vehicle Tier Filter 预期 ≥ 4min

更新频率: 频繁 (5.9.0 + 5.9.4 + 多次 updates 3/25 + 5/16), 数据热更新成本高

📌 反偏见: CCU 9.1K 反弹, 但大媒体已占 codes — 必须工具型差异化

📌 Priority: 🥈 Tier 2 (升级) — Vehicle Tier Filter + Money Calculator 工具型空白, 24-48h 立项窗口

🎮 Noob Incremental

Current CCU: 10.3K (06-14 22:00 14.9K) | Maturity: Release | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/17810627647/

Zone: ⚠️ Saturated >10K (边界)

📌 本质: 指数级 idle + Rune reroll 期望值 + 复合增长率 + Prestige gate

📌 核心矛盾: Rune reroll 策略 + Prestige 时机 + Enchant ROI + Plan Oof route

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords (EN 已饱和): 'Noob Incremental codes', 'Noob Incremental rune guide', 'Noob Incremental prestige'

Target Keywords (中文空白, pitfall #20): 'Noob Incremental 攻略', 'Noob Incremental 中文', 'Noob Incremental Rune 优化', 'Noob Incremental 收益计算'

Weapon: 中文 Rune Reroll Optimizer (互动决策树, 中文) + 中文 Prestige Timing Advisor + 中文 Enchant Token Calculator

📌 风险评估:

⚠️ 5 大媒体占 codes (Pocket Tactics / Destructoid / Beebom / Sportskeeda / progameguides)

⚠️ 2 第三方站先入 (noobincremental.com 综合 + noobincrementalcalc.online Calculator)

Dwell Time: 中文站工具型预期 ≥ 5min (Rune Optimizer 是决策树护城河)

📌 反偏见: 中文 ROI 空间仍在, 24-48h 立项窗口 (pitfall #20)

📌 Priority: 🥈 Tier 2 (维持) — 中文工具型差异化, 24-48h 立项窗口

🎮 [RELEASE] Ability Arena

Current CCU: 8.6K (06-14 22:00 10.9K, [RELEASE] 标签) | Maturity: Release | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/9981485670/

Zone: 🥇 Sweet Spot 6-10K

📌 本质: Ability 配队 + cooldown 博弈 + 配装 min-max + PvP meta

📌 核心矛盾: Best ability compo + 配装方案 + tier list 排序

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords: 'Ability Arena tier list', 'Ability Arena best build', 'Ability Arena abilities ranked', 'Ability Arena combo guide', 'Ability Arena codes'

Weapon: Ability Combo Tree (互动决策树, 选 ability → 输出 combo 顺序) + Build Optimizer (输入 role → 输出配装) + 可筛选 tier 表格

📌 风险评估:

TierMaker + Earnaldo 已建静态 tier list (pitfall #14 — 静态 < 互动)

Pocket Gamer 已占 text tier (但 ABA 是 Anime Battle Arena, 需 verification)

Dwell Time: Combo Tree 预期 ≥ 4min

📌 反偏见: 需进一步验证 TierMaker 是否针对 Ability Arena 还是 Ability Wars (同名撞词, pitfall #7)

📌 Priority: 🥈 Tier 2 (维持) — Combo Tree 工具型差异化, 24-48h 立项窗口

🎮 Sail Your Boat

Current CCU: 5.7K (06-14 22:00 13.5K peak) | Maturity: Release | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/10585571699/

Zone: 🥈 Niche Vacuum 1-6K (peak 13.5K 接近 Sweet Spot)

📌 本质: RNG drop rate + ship 升级路径 + 燃油/速度策略 + Prestige

📌 核心矛盾: Best ship 不透明 + 燃油效率 + 升级成本 + 离线 generation

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords: 'Sail Your Boat tier list', 'Sail Your Boat best ship', 'Sail Your Boat codes', 'Sail Your Boat upgrade guide', 'Sail Your Boat prestige'

Weapon: Ship Upgrade Path Calculator (输入当前 ship → 输出最优升级) + 燃油效率 Simulator + Best Ships 可筛选 tier 表格

📌 风险评估:

⚠️ progameguides + PCGamesN + GAMES.GG 大媒体占 codes 战场 (pitfall #13)

AustinChallenges 114K subs 29/5 codes video 1.4K views = 中等信号

Dwell Time: Ship Upgrade Path Calculator 预期 ≥ 4min

📌 反偏见: 大媒体已占 codes, 工具型空白仍在

📌 Priority: 🥈 Tier 2 (维持) — Ship Upgrade Path Calculator 工具型, 24-48h 立项窗口

🎮 💥Anime Fighting Simulator (新发现)

Current CCU: 8K ([99%] Up-and-Coming #17) | Maturity: Release | URL: https://www.roblox.com/games/4902894257/

Zone: 🥇 Sweet Spot 6-10K

📌 本质: 抽卡驱动的能力 multiplier + 训练 + Endless mode

📌 核心矛盾: Best champion 排序 + Special ability 配队 + 0 → 10QD 速度路线

📌 SEO 降维打击切入点:

Target Keywords: 'Anime Fighting Simulator Endless tier list', 'Anime Fighting Simulator best build', 'AFSE damage calculator', 'Anime Fighting Simulator codes'

Weapon: Damage Calculator (JS 互动, 输入 champion + special → 输出 DPS) + 0 → 10QD Fast Progression Guide (互动决策树) + Special Ability Tier Filter

📌 风险评估:

⚠️ animefightingsimulatorcalculator.com 已建 calculator + tier list (pitfall #14, 强第三方站先入)

Reddit + Instagram tier list 已建 (静态)

Dwell Time: Calculator 预期 ≥ 5min

📌 反偏见: 第三方站已建 calculator, 我们做互动决策树 (Fast Progression) 差异化, 但空间被压缩

📌 Priority: 🥉 Tier 3 (观察池) — 第三方站已建 calculator 护城河, 待 Fast Progression 差异化空间验证

五、Tier 3 观察池

🎮 Camo Or Snipe!

Current CCU: 8.3K | Maturity: Release

📌 判定: Sniper 类 PvP, 工具型差异化空间有限 (tier list 静态), 大媒体可能跟进

📌 Priority: 🥉 Tier 3 — 观察池, 7 天内 CCU 维持 6K+ 升级 Tier 2

🎮 Saber Unbound [CAPES]

Current CCU: 3.1K | Maturity: Release

📌 判定: 战斗 + cape 解锁, YouTube 验证待执行, 工具型差异化需评估

📌 Priority: 🥉 Tier 3 — 观察池, 待 YouTube playlist 验证

🎮 Backrooms Company

Current CCU: 1.8K | Maturity: Release

📌 判定: Backrooms 类 + Company 元素, 但 CCU 接近 Ignored Zone 边界

📌 Priority: 🥉 Tier 3 — 观察池, CCU 突破 3K 后升级

🎮 Fishing Chef (Update)

Current CCU: 3K | Maturity: Release + Update

📌 判定: RNG drop rate + 配方配比, 但需检查是否 drop (前次扫描已 drop)

📌 Priority: 🥉 Tier 3 — 维持观察池, 7 天内 CCU 回升到 5K+ 再评估

🎮 [NEW SKINS] Sniper Arena

Current CCU: 10K | Maturity: Release + Skins

📌 判定: Sniper PvP, 与 Camo Or Snipe 品类重叠, 工具型差异化空间有限

📌 Priority: 🥉 Tier 3 — 观察池, Sniper 类不建议双线立项

六、🚫 Drop 列表 (8 个黑名单 + 9 个 Saturated + 2 个低信号)

黑名单 (Obby/视觉房/Trivia/Clicker):

+1 Speed Butter Escape 🧈 (9.2K) — Obby/Speed-clicker

[X2] +1 Speed Brick Escape (5.9K) — Speed-clicker

Librarian: Tidy Up Roblox Library (11.3K) — 视觉/社交房

Clean The Library (8.7K) — 视觉/社交房

[🎮] Guess My Game (5.9K) — Trivia

Finish The Word! [ NEW PETS ] (10.1K) — Trivia/word

[🏖️]Cavity Crushers🦠 (4.3K) — 无明确进度

ASMR Matching! ✨ (4.2K) — 视觉 clicker

Doom by Fate (1.3K) — 无明确进度

Drop Balls For Brainrots (1.2K) — Clicker 无搜索深度

2 Player Squishy Tycoon (5.9K) — Niche 无搜索意图

YOU VS HOMELANDER (3.7K) — 仅 codes 视频, 低 views (442/369/953), 工具型空白

Saturated (>10K):

Grow a Garden 2 (541.1K) — Saturated Zone

[🔥RELEASE🔥] Anime Squadron (35.6K) — Saturated Zone

Merge a Nuke! (22.9K) — Saturated Zone

[BACKROOMS] Pet Simulator 99! (102.5K) — Saturated Zone

Berry Avenue 🏠 RP (63.2K) — Saturated Zone

Sell Lemons 🍋 (90.6K) — Saturated Zone

[UPD] +1 Speed Keyboard Escape (236.5K) — Saturated Zone

99 Nights in the Forest 🔦 (218.7K) — Saturated Zone

[UPD] Mini War (45.6K) — Saturated Zone

[🏖️ SUMMER PART 1 + 3 LUCK 🍀] Anime Warriors III (46.1K) — Saturated Zone

REDLINER (13K) — Saturated Zone

[🟣] Tower Defense Simulator (23.1K) — Saturated Zone

🎉 [CH 4] Jailbreak (15.6K) — Saturated Zone

Evade [💀3D NEXTBOTS] (28.3K) — Saturated Zone

[🗽RV🗽] American Plains Mudding (21.6K) — Saturated Zone

Build A Boat For Treasure (15.8K) — Saturated Zone

Piggy: Intercity [OUT NOW] (19.7K) — Saturated Zone

[UPD!] Defend ur base with anime (12.9K) — Saturated Zone

[🦑] 100 Days At Sea (18.7K) — Saturated Zone

Animal Hospital (Anomaly) 🧪 (17.5K) — Saturated Zone

Natural Disaster Survival (11.1K) — Saturated Zone

3008 [2.74] (13.9K) — Saturated Zone

[👽ALIEN] Basketball: Zero (10.8K) — Saturated Zone

🐟 Dandy's World [ALPHA] (77.8K) — Saturated Zone

维持 Drop (前次判定):

Hide or Die! (9.1K) — 1 年前 125 views 标题党陷阱, peak hour 反弹失败

七、📊 选品决策总览

| 优先级 | 游戏 | 06-15 10:00 CCU | 立项时间窗 | 预期工具类型 |

| 🥉 Tier 3 | Camo Or Snipe! | 8.3K | 观察池 | 待验证 |

Next Action: Tier 1 (A desrt + A Broken Dream) + Tier 2 (4 个) 移交 research/roblox-game-site-operations skill 进入建站阶段

八、实战教训 (新增)

My Gaming Cafe! Tier 1 → Tier 2 降级: 第三方站 mygamingcafe.wiki 已建完整 (Layout + ROI + Tier List + PC Parts + Codes) 护城河已建立 (pitfall #14). 即使我们做互动决策树, 差异化空间被压缩 30-40%

Rensselaer County Tier 3 → Tier 2 升级: 06-15 9.1K CCU 反弹 (+82% from 5K peak), Dexerto + Berliankecil 179K 强信号. Eurogamer + Dexerto 占 codes 但 Vehicle Tier Filter 工具型空白 → 升级

Anime Fighting Simulator 新发现: 99% 评分 + 8K CCU, 但 animefightingsimulatorcalculator.com 已建 calculator + tier list. Fast Progression Guide 差异化空间待验证, 维持 Tier 3

YOU VS HOMELANDER Drop: 仅 codes 视频 (EdgedSwordHD 442 views + Pocket-Codes 369 views + AustinChallenges 953 views), 无 tier list / build guide / calculator 工具型空白

九、Pipeline 移交

Tier 1 候选 (2 个): A desrt + A Broken Dream

Tier 2 候选 (5 个): My Gaming Cafe! + Rensselaer County + Noob Incremental + Ability Arena + Sail Your Boat

下游 skill: research/roblox-game-site-operations (建站) → research/roblox-keyword-to-page (日常运营)

扫描完成时间: 2026-06-15 10:00 CST | Skill: roblox-trend-hunter | 报告生成: cron 自动